It's virtually axiomatic that Detroit is a prohibitive favorite to repeat as American League Central champions.
But Baseball Prospectus doesn't envision the Chicago White Sox coming close to dethroning the Tigers as they nearly did in 2012.
The Baseball Prospectus/PECOTA projections have forecast a 77-85 record for the Sox, who were 85-77 and finished three games behind Detroit last year.
Here's a chart of Baseball Prospectus' predictions for the Sox and the Sox's actual record in seasons since 2005, according to the Sox:
Sub .500 season forecast for Sox
Chicago Tribune | Feb 12