Last week on this site, my old friend and colleague Mike Bates discussed the signing of Kevin Correia to a two-year contract, and while he noted that bringing on Correia at something like $5 million would be a perfectly defensible move for what is very likely to be a lost 2013, he argued that the second year on the contract was something of a waste, thereby sending a disappointing message to Twins fans.

Some of the TwinkieTown faithful didn't like that very much, finding it (and my article before it) overly negative. To me, Mike's piece reads like straightforward analysis, reaching a reasonable conclusion that's about the same as you're likely to read anywhere, but maybe reality is too negative these days? I don't know. I hope that's not the case, because I don't understand the Twins' signing of Mike Pelfrey to a one-year, $4 million contract plus incentives. I don't want to be needlessly negative, so I'm going to give them the benefit of the doubt – these are not misguided signings; the paperwork simply got mixed up somewhere along the way. Pelfrey was supposed to get Correia's contract and Correia Pelfrey's. It all makes sense that way.

It's not that Pelfrey's contract is bad -- not at all. It just doesn't make much sense for this team. Pelfrey had Tommy John surgery in May 2012, it's not clear yet whether he'll be ready for Opening Day, and even if he does come back at or near the beginning of the year, Twins fans (or, at least, those of us who have not repressed those memories) will remember well from watching Francisco Liriano how hard it is to predict what you're going to get from a TJ survivor on the mound, especially for the first year or so.