The NBA trade deadline is Feb. 21. What are the chances of these players getting moved before then? Our panel weighs the odds.


1. What are the chances Pau Gasol gets traded before the deadline?

J.A. Adande, ESPN.com: Zero percent. Why would anyone want a guy who'll cost $19 million next season when he can't play for you this season? Anyway, the Lakers can't afford to ship him out until they get Dwight Howard to sign on the line which is dotted.

Chris Broussard, ESPN The Magazine: Two percent. I didn't think the Lakers were going to trade him before Pau's foot injury, but now the chances are incredibly slim. The only potential trade seems to be to Toronto, but the Lakers have thus far shown no interest in the Raptors' Andrea Bargnani, who would be the centerpiece of Toronto's package.

Chad Ford, ESPN.com: Two percent. Given his injury status, I think Gasol's value is almost nil. The teams that were considering Gasol were all hoping he could give them a serious playoff push. Now that he's out the next six to eight weeks, I don't see it.

Marc Stein, ESPN.com: Five percent. Probably should have gone even lower. And it wouldn't be any higher even if Pau was healthy right now. The Lakers know they can't go through any more adjustment periods. So they can't make a big move and then try to work in a couple of new guys when they're already facing so many issues. All they can do is persist with what they have, try to make the best of the rest of the schedule and then figure out their next big moves when this circus of a season is over.

Brian Windhorst, ESPN.com: 15 percent. There's no doubt a market for Gasol exists, but there are two issues: 1) He's hurt and may not be able to contribute this regular season. 2) The Lakers will have significant demands -- this will not be a fire sale. I'd say it's much more likely Gasol gets moved in the summer if Dwight Howard re-signs.

2. What are the chances Josh Smith gets traded before the deadline?

Adande: 61 percent. I'm hearing Atlanta is really active. The thing is I just don't see which salaries would be worth taking on and diminishing their hard-fought cap space this summer.

Broussard: 60 percent. I say that because that's what I've been told by someone close to the situation. It's doubtful that Smith signs long term with the Hawks this summer -- unless they max him -- so GM Danny Ferry may move him for assets now. Thing is, one GM told me he thinks the Nets' non-impressive offer of Kris Humphries and Marshon Brooks may be the best Atlanta gets. Ouch.