I don't expect Mike Minor to sign an extension this offseason. I also don't think that the case for extending him now is persuasive even if you assume that several other players have already been signed.

However, there is a popular sentiment among Braves fans that Minor (buoyed by his excellent 2nd half of the 2012 season) is a burgeoning ace. Assuming that there is a realistic chance of Minor developing into a top-of-the-rotation starter, now may be the perfect time to sign him long-term. His price is undoubtably much lower now than it will be a year from now in that scenario.

Plus, I was quite curious to see what we can learn about Minor's future from comparable players. Such research can't tell us what Minor will do in 2013 and beyond, but it can give us a reasonable baseline for our expectations.